Wednesday, October 31, 2007

MLM Math (Part 2)


I have been discussing the plausibility of the program with several people and they have stated that my previous post was ignorant (using the term properly and no offense taken) since I did not understand the math. I may not have explained it clearly enough, but I have done a spreadsheet that shows that under the best circumstance, there is a $1.9M shortfall for the month of July 2007

More commissions and bonuses were paid out than income sources could cover.

Item Income Expense
106,000 RTA Sites Monthly Fee $ 5,294,700

Training and Marketing Sales $ 700,000

Travel Commission Earned $ 1,700,000

Non Power Team REP Commission
$ 489,522
Power Team REP Commission
$ 6,213,799
1642 Leadership Bonus ($1000 ea)
$ 1,642,000
26 Dream Bonus ($10,000 ea)
$ 260,000
RTA Travel Commissions
$ 1,006,513
TOTAL $ 7,694,700 $ 9,611,834




OVER/UNDER $ (1,917,134)





Source: http://www.ytb.com/downloads/Rep_Earnings.htm

Source: http://www.ytb.com/downloads/RTA_Earnings.htm

Source: http://sec.edgar-online.com/2007/05/03/0001144204-07-022623/Section36.asp








NOTES:


There is a $3.6M deficit for the month.





From YTB SEC filings, there are no other appreciable income sources.




Therefore to break even with the expenses, travel commissions would
need to equal $3.6M for the month. $3.6M equates to $36M in sales.
Assuming a 10% across the board commission. If you assume 15%
the total sales would be $24M.






Assume the expenses met the income, the travel commission received
was $3.6M and 60% of that was paid to the RTAs, the RTA share
should be $2.1M not $1M






But assume $1M is correct and it represents 60% of commissions
received, that makes the commissions received $1.7M





When you plug in $1.7M for commissions, there is still a $1.9M deficit




New signups are not accounted for. However, monthly fees are waived for
RTAs that have 6 downline people. I assume the two offset each other based
on the number of emails from RTAs claiming they do not pay the monthly fee.








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